Battery Technology Roadmap

Battery Technology Roadmap
21 September 2020

What is a technology roadmap, and how might it help guide decision making around High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology?

Technology roadmapping is used to help guide strategic decision making. The high-level roadmap covering High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology has been developed by Ricardo Strategic Consulting’s Technology Strategy team in consultation with Ricardo’s Global Technical Specialists. Roadmapping is a technique that’s often used by global organisations. Roadmaps like this are an important tool to help understand how technology might be shaped in the future and consider what it might be, why and when. The roadmaps can be used to aid research, development and decision-making when considering new battery technology.

What methods have been used for creating the High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology Roadmap?

The High Voltage Automotive Battery Technology Roadmap has a European focus and looks to examine the period from now until 2040. It aims to identify trends in battery technology, including products coming into the market from initial entry through growth and decline to the time of withdrawal.

When the Ricardo team develop technology roadmaps, they combine the expertise and input of technical specialists along with a wealth of information already available in the public domain. They gain an understanding of market drivers by gathering information on PESTLE forces. (Political, Economic, Social, Technology, Legislation and Environment.)

In the workshop, specialists examined the following in relation to battery technology:

  • How is lithium-ion battery technology likely to evolve over the coming years?
  • What are the alternatives to lithium-ion, e.g. solid-state batteries and how are they likely to develop?
  • How will the voltage of battery packs advance in the future? (The Porsche Taycan featured an 800V battery pack in 2019.)
  • What are the critical use cases for High Voltage Battery Technology?
  • Will there be a move toward de-modularisation?
  • Are there any barriers to development?

The team complete a review of the activities of key battery technology suppliers and assess the likely path of development and introduction of technology to the market.

The team then assess the market drivers against a timeline. They will look at:

  • Horizon 1: Brainstorming the evolution of battery technology
  • Horizon 3: Brainstorming the long-term future vision of High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology?
  • Horizon 2: Brainstorming the steps needed to link Horizon 1 and Horizon 3.

What is the output of High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology Roadmap?

Following the workshop, the team collate the analysis from the three horizons exercise. They they begin to form the outputs into a roadmap. The roadmap details the stages of the product lifecycle for different types of battery technology, including battery concepts, battery packs, battery modules and battery cells. It roadmaps the likely evolution of batteries from now until 2040, considering how the technology might be adopted into the mainstream over time and when it may decline. The team chart the development of more extensive use cases through to continuity or decline.

What are some of the key developments expected in the High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology Roadmap?

The map charts the expected development of Lithium-ion, Solid State batteries and other battery chemistries. It also examines the increase in battery voltage, along with disruptive battery cooling technology. The roadmap suggests higher voltage 800V Battery Packs will transition to market maturity in the next few years and then later increase to 1000V Battery Packs. The roadmap also charts the likely development of battery cells.

Access to the full technology roadmap for High Voltage Automotive Traction Battery Technology and full access to Ricardo’s other technology roadmaps is available via subscription to RiCK.

Find out more about RiCK™ 2.0 subscriptions and request a demo.